10 Tax Code Changes for 2015, and Strategies for Investors

Staying on top of all the latest tax rules is a full time job in itself.  Proper planning can help you pay less taxes and keep more money in your pocket.  Tune into Smart Money with Keith Springer this Saturday at 1pm as Keith explains the 10 major tax code changes going into effect this year, and what investors must do to prepare!

Listen to last weeks show “Retirement Planning is More Than Just the Stock Market” 

Listen to Smart Money with Keith Springer every Saturday at 1 p.m. on News Radio, KFBK.

Listen to last week’s show “7 Retirement Planning Must Do’s – Part 2″

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What’s In Store For The Rest of 2015?

Don’t Screw Up and Keep Your Retirement Years Golden!

The Outlook For Stocks, Bonds, Gold, The Dollar and Real Estate

As we get deeper into 2015, many investors remain concerned for a myriad of reasons.  Much of their uneasiness stems from the painful memories of the last stock market crash and the belief that the Federal Reserve’s stimulus programs will cause more harm than good….eventually.  Not helping matters much has been the stock market’s uninspiring action so far this year.  We have seen a massive increase in volatility which has yielded little in investor returns.  Below is what to expect for the rest of 2015.

Stock Market: We will likely look back at the end of the year and see a good year for investors, although with increased volatility and risk.  This is not going to be an easy year for investors as we will likely see several scary corrections and possibly even a “see in May and walk away” year.  Although by year end, we will probably see that economic forecasts for the year were probably on the low side.

The wildcard is interest rates. If the Fed raises rates, stocks will drop. We’ve  seen proof of this every time investors get a whiff of even the slightest chance that rates will rise sooner than expected. Right now the estimate is for a rise in the Fed Funds Rate in September.  Anything earlier could prompt a correction. Janet Yellen in her testimony on Tuesday said that they will maintain patience on interest rates, which tells me they are in no hurry. Given the lack of inflation and slower global demand, I don’t expect any rise in 2015.

There is much concern that global demand is slowing, and for good reason, but the massive stimulus moves by the EU and BOJ will counteract that. Therefore, earnings forecasts are too low as well, and should surprise to the upside sending stocks higher. The last five or six years, we have had the most dramatic earnings growth increases in history and that trend will continue.

One of the main reasons has been the Fed’s low interest rate policy, which Europe and Japan are now copying.  Everybody was concerned that it would generate rapid inflation. However, we have seen the opposite occur with two types of rapidly expanding deflation.

The first type of deflation was created by the rapidly aging 90 million baby boomers. As they passed their peak spending years, they were replaced by 65 million from “Generation X.” This is hardly enough to replace their purchasing power, which is forcing prices for practically everything to lower.

The new American Industrial Revolution causes the other kind of good deflation. We are in the midst of a revolution in technology, biotechnology and, of course, the headline grabbing energy sector.

Oil is plummeting from a new and improved drilling technology that is finding ways to extract oil and gas from huge proven reserve fields, something that was once thought impossible. The U.S. energy revolution will be one of the biggest factors for America for the next 10 or 20 years. We turn from a net energy importer to an exporter. Cheap energy also has one tremendous side advantage: peace in the Middle East. Imagine no more wars for oil and a shrinking defense budget. This would be hugely positive for risk assets, such as stocks across the board!

This is all good news— for the economy as a whole, as well as for you and me. Yes, some oil companies will suffer and some workers will lose their jobs, but the enormous benefit of thousands of dollars getting into the pockets of consumers, as well as corporations saving tens of millions of dollars in production costs is staggering! This has the effect of a $1.2 billion tax cut.

This massive deflation also creates cheap money, forcing companies to buy back their own stock or other companies. There is currently over $3 trillion sitting in corporate cash right now earning absolutely nothing. This will reduce the number of shares and or boost earnings per share, all without creating new business.

All of this points to a good year for U.S. stocks, but it will not be easy. The demographic headwind will be a major drag on the economy until approximately 2022. That’s when the 85 million echo-boomers hit their peak spending years. After that, you’ll be able to buy anything again and make money.

Bonds:
Rates look like they are going even lower. Even though America is starting to rebound, the global slowdown will keep rates at zero in Europe and Japan, forcing money into the U.S., which will keep rates low. If you are a bond investor today, you are getting the royal shaft by not keeping pace with inflation, and getting back 60 to 80 cents worth of purchasing power at maturity for every dollar you invest.

Gold: Gold will get a little boost from the massive money printing of Euro’s and Yen, but not enough for investors to profit.  Gold
 is an inflationary hedge, nothing more; with no inflation it will be going nowhere fast.

U.S. Dollar: The U.S. dollar will be a major story this year as it gets increasingly stronger due to the enormous Japanese and European stimulus programs.  Printing money hurts our economy as we saw in America a few years ago. That tide has turned. This is the time to plan your trip to Europe.

Real Estate:  
There is a long-term recovery in real estate underway, but the easy money has been made over the past few years, unless you live near Palo Alto. From here on, I expect a slow grind up with minute gains until that demographic headwind turns to a tailwind in 2022.

Investor Strategy: “Invest for need, not for greed!™” If you are close to retirement or already enjoying your golden years, you cannot replace this money nor can you afford another 5 or 10 years to get it back if you lose it.  Risk management is paramount. Although your portfolio is the cornerstone of your financial plan, a successful retirement starts with proper planning.

Work with a qualified retirement advisor who can create a customized master retirement plan for you and your family .  It should incorporate a retirement income analysis, retirement tax strategies, Social Security optimization, a sequence of distribution and marginal tax distribution strategy, and builds a portfolio that gets the best returns with the least risk possible so you are prepared for the good times and the bad.

Sincerely,

Keith Springer

916-925-8900

P.S. If you know of someone who would enjoy my newsletters or use of our services, I would very much appreciate the introduction.

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Retirement Planning Is More Than Just The Stock Market

If you are looking at just the stock market as your retirement plan, your missing out.  There is so much more to putting a successful Master Retirement Plan in place.

Tune into Smart Money with Keith Springer this Saturday at 1pm as Keith exposes how this could be devastating to your well laid plans and unveils proven strategies to get you to retire in style.  That’s 1pm this Saturday right here on KFBK.

Listen to Smart Money with Keith Springer every Saturday at 1 p.m. on News Radio, KFBK.

Listen to last week’s show “7 Retirement Planning Must Do’s – Part 2″

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Critical Market Update

To learn what’s going on in today’s world with the economy and financial markets, in plain English, and too see where stocks and bonds are headed be sure to watch this brief video update.

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7 Retirement Planning Must Do’s – Part 2

This retirement thing is hard! You are already retired and want a comfortable lifestyle or you want to retire as soon as possible, like yesterday.

Proper retirement planning is so much more than just managing your assets. Tune in as Keith unveils the top 7 important and most often overlooked retirement planning must do’s…

Listen to Smart Money with Keith Springer every Saturday at 1 p.m. on News Radio, KFBK.

Listen to last week’s show “7 Retirement Planning Must Do’s – Part 1

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The 7 Retirement Planning Must Do’s

This retirement thing is hard! You are already retired and want a comfortable lifestyle or you want to retire as soon as possible, like yesterday.

Proper retirement planning is so much more than just managing your assets. Tune in as Keith unveils the top 7 important and most often overlooked retirement planning must do’s…

Listen to Smart Money with Keith Springer every Saturday at 1 p.m. on News Radio, KFBK.

Listen to last week’s show (December 13 ) ,  “Fixing the 5 Blind Spots in Your Retirement Plan” 

Listen to past podcasts

 

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Why Does the Stock Market Stink So Far This Year?

0511-1004-3017-5247_Cartoon_of_a_Guy_Taking_Smelly_Garbage_Out_clipart_imageFor the last few months I have been saying how positive it looks for many U.S. companies. So why has the  stock market done so poorly?  Not only is it down for the last few months, but market volatility has gone through the roof with 100 point swings a daily occurrence. That’s a big deal if you are retired or planning for it!
The positives, such as lower oil prices, a strong dollar, rapid technological and biological advances and sustained low interest are still in place. It’s just the speed at which these occurred that has spooked investors.

There is no doubt that the Euro and the yen have fallen so sharply vs. the U.S. dollar due to their massive stimulus programs. This is hurting the earnings of multinationals when translated back to dollars. However, stronger earnings going forward is still very much in place; it’s just being affected by the currency conversion. This type of negative effect is far more welcome than lower earnings stemming from decreased demand and a recession.

Another big time factor is the complete collapse of the price of oil. Again, it happened so fast and was so unexpected, that it too is having a sudden influence of earnings. Yes, there will be casualties such as layoffs in the new Domestic oil heartland. However, the $1.2 trillion windfall to American consumers will be a boon for domestic demand and consumption and come at the perfect time to offset the stronger dollar,

Therefore, once things moderate and everyone gets their panties out of a bunch, I expect the market to rise to new highs, albeit with much more volatility and risk.  The wild card is the Fed and interest rates.

I called it dead on and stood alone in Facing Goliath – How to Triumph in the Dangerous Market Ahead, as I predicted DEFLATION and low rates would permeate, not inflation as everyone and their had mother expected.

The 10 year treasury is now 1.6%, almost at my 1.5% target and probably heading to 1%. Therefore, there is no reason for rates to rise. Yet I fear the Fed raising the fed funds rate slightly just to “see what happens.” That would scare the bejesus out of investors and send the market plummeting. Thus all the more reason to always “Invest for need, not for greed” and take the least risky way to achieve your objectives.

Investor Strategy

The increased volatility could be an early warning signal that a bigger drop could be coming. However, none of the other indicators are currently showing such and I don’t expect one, but it’s my job to always be paranoid and prepared. We are way overdue for a normal sizable correction and or bear market.

The key is to be invested properly with a qualified retirement advisor and have a plan for the good times as well as the bad. As you get older it’s harder to replace this money…unless you don’t mind working forever. If you are retired or close to it, “how much can I make” is replaced by “how much can I afford to lose” or “how much do I want to lose.” This will ensure you are looking at the big picture and getting the returns you “need,” but with the least risk possible, so you don’t get hurt too badly, or at all, when the market turns down again.

…… and that’s where we can help. To learn more about The Springer Investment Approach, which is our powerful proprietary Investment Management Strategy designed to manage risk and deliver returns in any market, or to get a free second opinion on your portfolio, simply reply to this email or give us a call for a free consultation today.

 

Sincerely,

Keith Springer

916-925-8900

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Fixing the Five Blind Spots In Your Retirement Plan

If you are retired or close to it, you need certainty. However, the future is unpredictable and there’s no way to account for every possible scenario. Those who prepare diligently are sure to succeed while those who put if off are doomed to fail.

Tune in to Smart Money with Keith Springer this Saturday at 1pm as Keith unveils the keys to fixing the blind spots in your retirement so you can live out those golden years in comfort and style!

Listen to Smart Money with Keith Springer every Saturday at 1 p.m. on News Radio, KFBK.

Listen to last week’s show  “What Can The Superbowl Teach Us About Financial Planning”  

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What Can The Superbowl Teach Us About Financial Planning

Proven Strategies To Win the Biggest Game of Your Life 

Do you think Tom Brady or Russell Wilson can win this game all on their own?  Not a chance!  You  need the whole package to win the Superbowl…a good offense, a good defense and a great coach.  Tune in to Smart Money with Keith Springer this saturday at 1PM as Keith unveils the best offensive and defensive strategies to position and protect your investments in the new year.

Listen to Smart Money with Keith Springer every Saturday at 1 p.m. on News Radio, KFBK.

Listen to Part Two of  “Your Essential New Years Resolution Checklist – 2″  

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How to Lock In Your Stock Market Gains with Limited Losses

With Special Guest, Jason Jenkins, Founder of AssetLock

Would you like a magic pill for investing your hard earned money in the stock market so you let your gains run but limit your losses to a very small amount or even zero?

Tune in to Smart Money with me, Keith Springer this Saturday at 1pm, as I interview special guest, Jason Jenkins, the founder of AssetLock and he unveil the secrets to making money in the stock market without fear of big losses or any losses at all, that’s this Saturday at 1PM right here on KFBK.

Listen to Smart Money with Keith Springer every Saturday at 1 p.m. on News Radio, KFBK.

Listen to Part Two of  “Your Essential New Years Resolution Checklist – 2″  

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